Welcome to Kaupr Today - and a new podcast episode!

Good morning and welcome to Kaupr Today!

Last week, we launched Kaupr Weekly, a new short, news-oriented podcast where Morten Myrstad is analyzing and commenting on the news. This week: Is this crypto spring, or "sell the news"?

In our main news feed this Monday, Bitcoin is showing renewed strength and consolidating near three-month highs for a potential breakout, while the US regulatory landscape remains a high-stakes battleground. Meanwhile, tech giants PayPal and Google Cloud are aligning on cryptocurrency networks as the default payments infrastructure for the future AI economy, and a massive $4.2 billion acquisition marks a historic convergence between crypto platforms and traditional capital markets.

♦️ Bitcoin targets a bullish breakout while long-term holders secure gains.
♦️ SEC Chair Paul Atkins signals a transition toward tailored rules for onchain markets. ♦️ US banks clash with crypto advocates over stablecoin rewards in the CLARITY Act. ♦️ Google and PayPal back blockchain infrastructure for autonomous AI agents.
♦️ Bullish acquires share-registry giant Equiniti in a landmark $4.2 billion deal.

Have a good read! And Happy listening!

Morten

To listen: Is this crypto spring, or “sell the news”?

🎧 Listen directly by clicking on the paragraph above, or go to our podcast page Kaupr Weekly to learn more about the show and how to subscribe. You can also listen to the latest podcast episode on Spotify, Apple, or YouTube.

The Big Picture right now

The $82,000 battle: Bullish breakout or "sell the news" trap?

The $82,000 battle: Bullish breakout or "sell the news" trap? Bitcoin has regained bullish momentum, clearing the $81,500 resistance zone and consolidating above $80,750 as traders target a potential breakout toward $85,000. On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals a cautious undercurrent, with daily profit-taking recently spiking to 14,600 BTC—levels not seen since December.

Why it matters: This dual dynamic reveals a highly mature market structure. Even as short-term momentum signals a potential bullish run, long-term investors are treating these local highs with caution, prioritizing capital preservation and liquidity over unhedged speculation.

Bitcoin investors lock in biggest profits in a year as correction risks rise

As Bitcoin rallies 37% to tap a three-month high, investors are sitting on their highest unrealized profit margins since June 2025. CryptoQuant data shows daily realized profits spiked to 14,600 BTC on May 4—levels not seen since December. While this return to profitability is structurally healthy, analysts warn that high futures leverage combined with weak spot demand increases the risk of a sharp pullback.

Why it matters: Heavy profit-taking at key resistance levels historically points to either a local price top or a looming consolidation phase. With massive incentives for traders to lock in gains now, the market remains highly vulnerable to sudden liquidations.

The High-Stakes DC Battleground

Atkins to DeFi: Prepare for the "New Deal" of the onchain economy

Speaking at the AI+ Expo, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins announced that the commission may update key securities rules to better fit decentralized finance (DeFi). Atkins noted that traditional regulations written for brokers, clearing agencies, and exchanges fail to align with modern protocols executing trading and settlement near-instantaneously through code. Drawing a parallel to Regulation ATS in the late 1990s, he suggested a tailored rulemaking process is needed to support both blockchain and AI-driven finance.

Why it matters: This signals a historic shift from "regulation by enforcement" to active, tailored rulemaking. By building a compliant runway for DeFi and machine-to-machine transactions, the SEC is treating the onchain transition like the birth of electronic trading in the 90s.

Is the SEC finally throwing away its 1930s playbook?

At the Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas, SEC Chair Paul Atkins stated that the agency’s current regulatory framework operates under rules from the 1930s that simply do not fit token-based ecosystems. While the SEC is working to streamline its approach under its new "ACT" strategy, Atkins emphasized that true, lasting certainty can only be established through a permanent act of Congress.

Why it matters: Even with a highly pro-crypto leadership currently in charge of the SEC, the progress made remains fragile and easily reversible by future administrations without the passage of permanent federal statutes like the CLARITY Act.

Panic at the Banks: High-stakes lobbying to crush crypto rewards

Six US banking lobby groups are pushing to alter the bipartisan CLARITY Act ahead of a Senate markup, demanding a strict ban on stablecoin rewards to protect traditional bank deposits. Coinbase and crypto advocates have hit back, accusing the banks of trying to stifle competition and consumer benefits.

Why it matters: The traditional banking sector continues to view stablecoins as a direct threat to deposit growth. Banning transaction rewards could severely limit the commercial appeal of regulated US stablecoins and drive innovation offshore.

The Race of the Machine Economy

When AI starts spending money, It will use crypto

Representatives from Google Cloud and PayPal stated at the Consensus Miami conference that autonomous AI agents will inevitably rely on blockchain and crypto infrastructure to transact. Both companies emphasized that traditional banking networks are too slow and fragmented to support the micro-transactions and instant settlements required when machines begin buying services, APIs, and data from each other at scale.

Why it matters: When two of the world's largest distribution platforms for global cloud computing and consumer payments publicly agree on crypto-native networks for AI, the technology transitions from a speculative niche into the default infrastructure for the future machine-to-machine economy.

Forget onboarding humans: Why AI agents are crypto’s ultimate user base

Speaking at Consensus Miami, Animoca Brands Chairman Yat Siu argued that the crypto industry has long misread its target audience. Instead of focusing on onboarding mainstream human users who struggle with complex web3 interfaces, Siu predicts that 50 to 100 billion autonomous AI agents will become the primary users of blockchains, bypassing human friction entirely through direct code execution.

Why it matters: This perspective redefines the future of blockchain adoption. If software agents become the primary economic actors transacting on-chain, crypto's notorious user-experience barriers disappear, allowing the underlying financial networks to scale silently in the background of the digital economy.

The Real-World Adoption Wave of Stablecoins

Bitwise CIO: Tech pilots could drive stablecoins to $4 trillion by 2030

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan predicts the global stablecoin supply could surge from $300 billion to $4 trillion by 2030, driven by tech giants testing digital dollar payouts. Highlighting DoorDash’s pilot with Stripe for 10 million gig workers and Meta’s creator salary initiatives in Colombia and the Philippines, Hougan argues that corporate adoption is driven by operational simplicity—like bypassing fragmented local banking networks and currency conversions—rather than just fee savings.

Why it matters: This shift demonstrates that the primary growth driver for stablecoins is transitioning from speculative crypto trading to real-world corporate logistics. For multinational platforms managing millions of micro-transactions, replacing legacy banking networks with compliant digital dollar payouts represents a massive leap in operational efficiency.

Merging TradFi and Onchain Rails

The $4.2 Billion Megadeal: Bullish buys the gateway to tokenized stock markets

Cryptocurrency exchange operator Bullish has announced a definitive agreement to acquire Equiniti, a leading global transfer agent serving nearly 3,000 public companies and 20 million shareholders, in a deal valued at $4.2 billion. Bullish plans to combine Equiniti's regulated registry layer with its own blockchain infrastructure to establish an end-to-end tokenization pipeline for public securities, operating within FCA-regulated UK and SEC-registered US frameworks.

Why it matters: This monumental acquisition represents one of the largest integrations of traditional market infrastructure by a crypto-native firm to date. By acquiring an established registry system rather than building from scratch, Bullish secures the regulatory footprints and enterprise trust required to scale real-world asset (RWA) tokenization at a global level.

The DeFi Blame Game

LayerZero folds: Admits critical "mistake" behind the $292M Kelp DAO hack

In a major turnaround, cross-chain protocol LayerZero has issued a formal apology and accepted responsibility for enabling the $292 million exploit of liquid restaking platform Kelp DAO in April. After weeks of public finger-pointing where LayerZero blamed Kelp for using weak security settings, the company admitted it made a critical mistake by allowing its own validation infrastructure to protect high-value assets in a vulnerable "1-of-1" configuration. To rebuild trust, LayerZero announced it will completely phase out these single-verifier setups, moving to stricter multi-signature defaults.

Why it matters: This high-profile admission underscores how structural single points of failure remain the Achilles' heel of decentralized finance. The fallout has already triggered a migration, with major protocols like Kelp and Solv moving hundreds of millions of dollars in assets away from LayerZero to competing cross-chain networks like Chainlink.

The NFT Resurrection?

Bored Ape NFTs double in a month as risk appetite returns

The floor price for the blue-chip Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) NFT collection has doubled over the past month, surging from 5 ETH to 10 ETH as traders rediscover their appetite for high-risk assets. This sudden revival has also lifted the ecosystem's native token, APE, and triggered a broader recovery across other major digital collectible collections, such as Pudgy Penguins.

Why it matters: While the broader NFT market is still down over 95% from its historic peak, this sharp rebound suggests that retail interest is not entirely dead. It shows that speculative capital is quickly returning to established, well-known digital brands the moment broader market sentiment improves.

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Tomorrow we're back!

Morten Myrstad
Founder & Editor

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